Improved LSTM-based deep learning model for COVID-19 prediction using optimized approach

Individuals in any country are badly impacted both economically and physically whenever an epidemic of infectious illnesses breaks out. A novel coronavirus strain was responsible for the outbreak of the coronavirus sickness in 2019. Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is the name that the World Health Organization (WHO) officially gave to the pneumonia that was caused by the novel coronavirus on February 11, 2020. The use of models that are informed by machine learning is currently a major focus of study in the field of improved forecasting. By displaying annual trends, forecasting models can be of use in performing impact assessments of potential outcomes. In this paper, proposed forecast models consisting of time series models such as long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM), generalized regression unit (GRU), and dense-LSTM have been evaluated for time series prediction of confirmed cases, deaths, and recoveries in 12 major countries that have been affected by COVID-19. Tensorflow1.0 was used for programming. Indices known as mean absolute error (MAE), root means square error (RMSE), Median Absolute Error (MEDAE) and r2 score are utilized in the process of evaluating the performance of models. We presented various ways to time-series forecasting by making use of LSTM models (LSTM, BiLSTM), and we compared these proposed methods to other machine learning models to evaluate the performance of the models. Our study suggests that LSTM based models are among the most advanced models to forecast time series data.

Improved LSTM-based deep learning model for COVID-19 prediction using optimized approach.

Individuals in any country are badly impacted both economically and physically whenever an epidemic of infectious illnesses breaks out. A novel coronavirus strain was responsible for the outbreak of the coronavirus sickness in 2019. Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is the name that the World Health Organization (WHO) officially gave to the pneumonia that was caused by the novel coronavirus on February 11, 2020. The use of models that are informed by machine learning is currently a major focus of study in the field of improved forecasting. By displaying annual trends, forecasting models can be of use in performing impact assessments of potential outcomes. In this paper, proposed forecast models consisting of time series models such as long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM), generalized regression unit (GRU), and dense-LSTM have been evaluated for time series prediction of confirmed cases, deaths, and recoveries in 12 major countries that have been affected by COVID-19. Tensorflow1.0 was used for programming. Indices known as mean absolute error (MAE), root means square error (RMSE), Median Absolute Error (MEDAE) and r2 score are utilized in the process of evaluating the performance of models. We presented various ways to time-series forecasting by making use of LSTM models (LSTM, BiLSTM), and we compared these proposed methods to other machine learning models to evaluate the performance of the models. Our study suggests that LSTM based models are among the most advanced models to forecast time series data.

All-in-One Metal-Oxide Heterojunction Artificial Synapses for Visual Sensory and Neuromorphic Computing Systems

An all-in-one artificial synapse integrating central nervous and sensory nervous functions utilizing low-dimensional metal-oxide heterojunction is demonstrated in this work. With an ion-electrolyte gate, synaptic emulations modulated by electrical and photonic stimulus have been integrated into one high-performance three-terminal artificial synapse. Various long-term and short-term synaptic plasticity functions have been achieved by altering the electrolyte-gate stimulus amplitude/width/frequency/number. The linear potentiation behavior and maintained states enable artificial synapses for neuromorphic computing. Simulated artificial neural network based on the artificial synapses achieved Covid-19 chest image recognition (>85%). The photo-sensing metal-oxide heterojunction enables the synaptic functions mimicking the biological visual sensory functions responding to optical and UV stimulus. Photonic synaptic plasticity modulations responding to photonic stimulus wavelength/power/width/number are investigated, and short-term/long-term synaptic plasticity transition was achieved. Dual-mode modulation combining photonic stimulus and gate stimulus was examined, along with a ‘AND Gate’ demonstration with electrical and photonic inputs. Finally, an artificial neural network was demonstrated based on the synapses with dual-mode synaptic weight modulation, indicating the potential of the artificial synapse for compact artificial intelligence systems combing neuromorphic computing and visual sensory nervous functions.

Ultrasensitive supersandwich-type electrochemical sensor for SARS-CoV-2 from the infected COVID-19 patients using a smartphone.

The recent pandemic outbreak of COVID-19 caused by a novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), poses a threat to public health globally. Thus, developing a rapid, accurate, and easy-to-implement diagnostic system for SARS-CoV-2 is crucial for controlling infection sources and monitoring illness progression. Here, we reported an ultrasensitive electrochemical detection technology using calixarene functionalized graphene oxide for targeting RNA of SARS-CoV-2. Based on a supersandwich-type recognition strategy, the technology was confirmed to practicably detect the RNA of SARS-CoV-2 without nucleic acid amplification and reverse-transcription by using a portable electrochemical smartphone. The biosensor showed high specificity and selectivity during in silico analysis and actual testing. A total of 88 RNA extracts from 25 SARS-CoV-2-confirmed patients and eight recovery patients were detected using the biosensor. The detectable ratios (85.5 % and 46.2 %) were higher than those obtained using RT-qPCR (56.5 % and 7.7 %). The limit of detection (LOD) of the clinical specimen was 200 copies/mL, which is the lowest LOD among the published RNA measurement of SARS-CoV-2 to date. Additionally, only two copies (10 µL) of SARS-CoV-2 were required for per assay. Therefore, we developed an ultrasensitive, accurate, and convenient assay for SARS-CoV-2 detection, providing a potential method for point-of-care testing.

Prediction of fatal adverse prognosis in patients with fever-related diseases based on machine learning: A retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Fever is the most common chief complaint of emergency patients. Early identification of patients at an increasing risk of death may avert adverse outcomes. The aim of this study was to establish an early prediction model of fatal adverse prognosis of fever patients by extracting key indicators using big data technology. METHODS: A retrospective study of patients' data was conducted using the Emergency Rescue Database of Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital. Patients were divided into the fatal adverse prognosis group and the good prognosis group. The commonly used clinical indicators were compared. Recursive feature elimination (RFE) method was used to determine the optimal number of the included variables. In the training model, logistic regression, random forest, adaboost and bagging were selected. We also collected the emergency room data from December 2018 to December 2019 with the same inclusion and exclusion criterion. The performance of the model was evaluated by accuracy, F1-score, precision, sensitivity and the areas under receiver operator characteristic curves (ROC-AUC). RESULTS: The accuracy of logistic regression, decision tree, adaboost and bagging was 0.951, 0.928, 0.924, and 0.924, F1-scores were 0.938, 0.933, 0.930, and 0.930, the precision was 0.943, 0.938, 0.937, and 0.937, ROC-AUC were 0.808, 0.738, 0.736, and 0.885, respectively. ROC-AUC of ten-fold cross-validation in logistic and bagging models were 0.80 and 0.87, respectively. The top six coefficients and odds ratio (OR) values of the variables in the Logistic regression were cardiac troponin T (CTnT) (coefficient=0.346, OR = 1.413), temperature (T) (coefficient=0.235, OR = 1.265), respiratory rate (RR) (coefficient= -0.206,OR = 0.814), serum kalium (K) (coefficient=0.137, OR = 1.146), pulse oxygen saturation (SPO2) (coefficient= -0.101, OR = 0.904), and albumin (ALB) (coefficient= -0.043, OR = 0.958). The weights of the top six variables in the bagging model were: CTnT, RR, lactate dehydrogenase, serum amylase, heartrate, and systolic blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: The main clinical indicators of concern included CTnT, RR, SPO2, T, ALB and K. The bagging model and logistic regression model had better diagnostic performance comprehesively. Those may be conducive to the early identification of critical patients with fever by physicians.